Ok, Bush, NOW You Can Be 'Cautiously' Optimistic.
Before you all think I'm jumping the bandwagon of people lauding democracy an absolute success and the fact we show those insurgents who's boss, I will say, reservedly, that the Iraq elections were a booming and rather quiet success, despite all the hype (and no pun intended).
BUT, here's just a small sampling of some issues that needs must be raised:
--While some areas were crammed, others had their voting booths empty, espically in the regions with the old Sunni regime were present. The Sunnis are in minority right now, and many of them didn't see the point in voting. Now, I'm not saying they should be in majority...what I am saying is there will be two issues: how well the minorities are treated, and how those minorites are going to deal with being in minority. With the religious tensions in this region, I'm not sure this is over yet.
--There's been some question between the CNN story of 72% voter turnout which was considered 'rough', and a later BBC 60% turnout. The acutal turnout may have some signfanct bearing on how successfully democracy is spreading. Ditto the number of voters registered. If they're smart, they'll double check the rolls to be safe.
--Iraq is occupied. No, seriously, this is an issue. It'll be a greater win when they'll run elections without US forces there supervising...it's part of the solvency issue.
--Lastly, depending on who you ask, there are not so many or a lot of Iraqi security troops trained, and it's been said until a decent force is established, none of our troops are going anywhere. So, a completely free Iraq is still a little ways off.
So, what exactly does this mean? Well, one of three things right now: things will continue to go well and our war will end in Iraq, there will be a little bit of trouble dealing with security issues (but nothing major) and the status quo of how things will be maintained for a while, or lastly, there will be big trouble in Iraq dealing with the new government (like assassinations and the like) and there will be no light at the end of the tunnel. Right now, we're dancing in the dark, waiting for the song to end.
The adminstration may of gotten Iraq elections to work, and kudos to them, but they must continue to deal with the people issues.
Voting For Peace, the AWM/wolf dragon
Sol